Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Tuesday, 19 January, 2010

Could Guinea Be Headed for a Resolution?

A few days ago I found out about the twist in events in Guinea in the last two months or so.

Guinea is the west African country which I only heard about when living in Liberia, but it stood in contrast to Liberia in that it was relatively stable, during the latter part of the 20th century.  Liberia had years of war, while Guinea was dominated by Lansana Conte.  Oddly enough, however, even though Guinea had been stable compared to Liberia, there were still serious problems with power shortages and other basic necessities, meaning it was not that much ahead of Liberia developmentally.  This apparently was due to the corruption or mismanagement of the Lansana Conte regime.

Then in 2008, Conte, died, and a military regime took over power.  They seemed promising at first, pledging to hold civilian elections, but as time wore on, the military group under Captain Moussa Camara grew more and more restrictive and controlling.  Human rights abuses became more widespread.  Then in late September there was an incident in which the military killed a large number of civilians in what some have called a massacre- an armed attack on a peaceful pro-democracy rally.  Women were maliciously violated and raped in the aftermath.

Now a man who media has described as “a top aide” shot Camara in an attempted assassination.  This may have changed the picture considerably, as Camara has basically been incapacitated- he seems to no longer be fit to govern.  In this news article, from Burkina Faso, Camara now says he supports a transition to democracy and that he will not run in future elections.

According to this news article, a member of the opposition has become the Prime Minister, and elections are to be held within six months.

The question now is whether the deputy of Camara, General Konate, will do what he says and let go of power to allow elections to take place.

In any event, the events of the last month have potentially opened the door for change in Guinea’s story, as Camara has been sidelined, and the pro- democracy movement appears to have gained more power.  Or is that an illusion?  Let’s hope that it works out for the best- I’m sure the Guineans could use a service oriented civilian government to improve livelihoods and conditions in the country.

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Friday, 8 January, 2010

Can Music Be Used for Social Change?

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Saturday, 5 December, 2009

Making Sense of the Iran Nuclear Situation

I’d like to discuss the situation related to the Iran nuclear situation, because the nuclear issue is important, and it is often in the headlines.  It is one of several issues related to Iran, which are difficult in some cases to disentangle.  The relationship between Iran and the US, for example, is closely related to the nuclear issue.

I’d like to start off by saying that I look at the situation from the interest of the international citizen, or the average person in the world.  What I pose is, what is their interest in this?  In other words, I consider not the interest of the Iranian citizen, or the US citizen, or the Israeli citizen, but the interest of the citizens of  countries which are not really involved, such as in Latin America, Southeast Asia, Sub Saharan Africa, etc.   After all, these people number far more than the involved parties.

I would propose that their interest is to avoid having a nuclear confrontation.  The possible spillover effects of a nuclear bomb explosion, and the potential for such a conflict to spread, the destabilizing effects politically that such an event could have- all are strong reasons why a nuclear bomb episode would be negative in general for the people of the world.

Further, I posit that the more states that have nuclear technology, the more likely it is that one will be used.  Using a simple law of probability, if there is a standard probability for any nation to use a nuclear weapon in a war, it follows that more countries equal a higher likelihood of the use of a nuclear bomb.  For example, let’s say in any year there is a one in one thousand chance (0.1%) that any particular country will use a nuclear bomb to attack a country.  Currently in the world there are 8 countries which possess nuclear bombs, plus North Korea.  That’s a 0.8-0.9% chance of a nuclear bomb being used.

But if it is 20 countries which possess nuclear bombs, then the likelihood of a nuclear attack increases to 2.0% in one year.  So by this logic, an increase in the number of countries which possess nuclear bombs, means an increase in the likelihood of their use.

For this reason, I think that in the general interest of people in the world, it is better if nuclear weapons are not more common, more numerous, and possessed by a larger number of states.  On that grounds, I would look at an Iranian nuclear weapons program with apprehension.  It would be better if the Iranian government did not pursue nuclear weapons development.  I am not basing this argument on any particular bias against the Iranian regime (that would be a different argument), it is simply posing that an increase in the number of nuclear armed nations means an increase in the likelihood of the use of a nuclear bomb in an attack.

Looking at It From Different Perspectives

Having said that, its important to also understand why some people think that Iran should be able to have nuclear energy, or even nuclear weapons.  Many in the English speaking world tend to see it from the perspective of the European countries and the US, and are coaxed along somewhat in this position by the media.  But there is another main perspective, or group of perspectives, which is sympathetic to Iran, and sees the US as an aggressive state.  In other words, the opposite position of the first viewpoint.

For example, try to look at it from the perspective of the Iranian state- when the USA invaded Iraq, this was their next door neighbor.  The US also invaded Afghanistan, another neighbor of Iran.   So for them, the possibility of an invasion from the United States is probably a possibility.  In addition the US is the only world power ever to use a nuclear bomb in wartime.  I would think this justifies and motivates the nuclear deterrent in their mind.  Another of Iran’s enemies, Israel, also has nuclear capability.   Additionally, Iran could reasonably argue that “Other states have nuclear weapons, why do we not have the right to have them?”  Ultimately, in the nuclear order, how can one justify only a select group of states having these weapons?

To take the argument a step further from the Iranian government side, they claim that they do not want nuclear weapons, they say they only want to make nuclear power.  If one believes this, it undercuts concerns over their nuclear program even more.  Whether one believes this claim or not, depends on one’s sympathies, amount of knowledge and information, etc.  Personally I don’t feel I know enough to say what the Iranian government’s real objective is.

Many people in Iran and other countries of the world may hold a variant of this view on the issue.   The perspective of Iranian people is also important because it could influence the Iranian government.  This view, in the context of politics and nationalism, will be considered next.

Politics and Nationalism

Of course, this is not all happening in a vacuum, the pursuit of a nuclear program takes place in the context of Iran’s political situation.  Over the past few years, according to what I observed, it seems that the Ahmadinejad administration has successfully used the nuclear issue to drum up nationalism in Iran.  Nationalism ultimately helps this regime, because it builds up a feeling of togetherness (under their regime), strength, assertiveness, which can then be directed toward an external entity, such as the US, etc.   Strong nationalism can divert attention away from very real issues and concerns at home, such as the legitimacy of a quasi- democratically elected government, with major positions completely unelected, such as the Ayatollah.

Now jump to 2009, when there was the election crisis and demonstrations which challenged the current regime, and has led to deep questioning even within the Iranian establishment.  The question now would be whether the election crisis, and the challenge it poses to Ahmadinejad’s second term, will affect Iran’s position on the nuclear issue?

My guess is this will probably not make the Iranian government more willing to compromise on the nuclear issue.  My guess is that the government’s strategy will be to continue along, slowly and methodically crushing any lingering opposition from this summer.  Meanwhile, they will continue to agitate about the nuclear program, and pursue an aggressive line, hoping and/or knowing that it will lead to an upsurge of nationalism again.  Fast forward two years:  the opposition is no where in sight, the media is daily blaring news about the nuclear conflict… are people going to take a stance against their regime?  Its difficult to imagine much domestic opposition when, to my knowledge, the media in Iran is somewhat manipulated by the government.  In situations like this, it would seem that tolerance of diversity of opinion would be limited.

This is a common tactic of governments, a tactic similar to those of other countries, including for example the Bush government, to try to whip up public support.  It ultimately is to the ruling group’s advantage to use some external enemy, such as the US, the Western powers, etc. to deflect attention away from their own deficits.  Unfortunately, it often also works quite effectively.

My question is, what kind of policy would a truly elected government of Iran, which genuinely reflected the wishes of the Iranian people on the subject, pursue vis a vis the nuclear energy/ weapons issue?  If there were more freedom in the media in Iran, how would that affect public opinion on the issue?

So to conclude without wandering into the many related issues, it would be regrettable and unfortunate for the people of the world if more and more states acquire nuclear weapons.  It would be better if Iran did not pursue nuclear weapons, but from here it seems that they are determined, at least, to pursue nuclear power, and it is in the Iranian regime’s interest politically to do so.  The desire and ability of the Iranian people to question this policy is probably limited, so the only real opposition the regime will face will be at the international level.  Whether those other countries will be able to influence the regime remains to be seen.

I would invite any comments or thoughts.  Do readers think that the Iranian regime should be allowed to have nuclear weapons?  Is it possible to stop them?  Do you have any direct experience with Iranian people which would provide insight into what they think about it?  I look forward to any comments…

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Sunday, 1 November, 2009

Should A Man Always Pay For A Woman On A Date?

For those people who are unmarried, or perhaps recently divorced, this issue must come up frequently. Its one of those recurring questions of international culture that men (and to a lesser extent, women) must confront regularly.

Currently I’m living in a country where relations between men and women are more heavily scripted, more traditional, and men are expected to pay for everything on a date.

It also happens that recently, for various reasons, I have been having a cash flow problem, and really had to stretch my budget to survive until the next paycheck. All sorts of money saving techniques had to be implemented.

At the same time, I also wanted to meet and go out with different women. Of course, in that process, I should meet at least a few different women and get to know them in order to find out if we are compatible.

A friend of mine was leaving the country and had a going away party. At the party I met one of her friends, we talked, exchanged numbers etc. My friend was enthusiastic and encouraged me to meet her and get to know her. Ironically this same friend (who was leaving the country) had also lent me money so I could survive until my paycheck.

About a week later, I talked with this new acquaintance of mine, and we arranged to meet at a restaurant for our first meeting/ date. During the date, I explained my financial predicament to this woman, so she knew about my situation. The date went on, we talked, and finally it was time to go home. The bill came and it was a lot more than I had been expecting. My new friend had ordered more food than I. So I asked her to help me pay for the bill. I paid more than her, because I knew that her salary is less than mine, but I did not want to pay all, as it would jeopardize my chances of making it to my paycheck. Plus I don’t really believe that I should have to pay for her stuff anyway (although I know that women in this country commonly expect it.)

Later that night when I got home, my friend (who was now overseas already) contacted me by chat. When I told her that I went out with her friend, she immediately asked me if I paid the bill. She replied that her friend must have felt sad because I did not pay for her. And that her friend would take this as a sign that I have no money and I “will not be able to pay for her in the future.” I responded critically and said women should get over this notion that men should always pay for them. After all, they can get a job and work just like I can.

My friend responded that “it means a man really loves a woman cause they can pay everything to get the girl.” This also seemed wrong to me. What kind of man will love a woman after he has just met her and spoken with her at a going away party, talked together maybe one hour? How likely is it to love a woman after such a short time as this? And maybe I would like to be the one who is loved? Maybe I would like that woman to show me that she loves me on the first date? : ) It has been a long time since I met a woman and “fell in love” with her after the first meeting. My friend ended the conversation by stubbornly insisting “man has to pay”.

Again this is the same woman who had lent me money, and here she was advocating that I spend that same money on my date’s food and drink. I was shocked that such a woman, one who had met many foreigners, had foreign boyfriends, is well-educated and lives in the capitol city could be so conservative and traditional.

Yet I’m sure when it comes to women’s rights, her ideas are much more modern, less traditional, and at least somewhat up to step with the most current ideas related to women’s rights.

Personally, I don’t see any compelling reason why a man should have to pay for a woman on any dates that they go on, if its pretty clear that both of them wanted to go.  The expectation that they will is a continuing burden on men, and leads to numerous uncomfortable situations, when the man knows that he is expected to do so, but perhaps does not want to. Its difficult to discuss such a thing when you hardly know someone, and are going out with them for the first time.

Sometimes it seems that women are using controlling words and ideas to try to manipulate men into paying for them. For example, a woman I know recently came to meet me, then called and invited her friend to meet us.  The two of them proceeded to order dinner. In the middle of their dinner, they started to talk about “stinginess” and asked me if I am “stingy”. Was it just pure conversation, or an attempt to manipulate me into paying for their dinner? (This is an even more annoying habit- not only must the man pay for the woman he is dating, but he also must pay for any friends that she invites to go out together with them!) Other than that seeming attempt at manipulation, it was fun though.

Women in this country seem to think that its important to get men to pay for them. But their criteria in judging men seems to be warped. They focus so much on getting the man’s money, while disregarding other factors, such as the person’s character or intelligence, even appearance. In the end will they choose an unattractive, boring, man who may sleep around with other women (who he also paid for), simply because he was willing to go along with this tradition?

Personally I think cultures should encourage men to be more fiscally responsible, and not waste money. Women are often credited (in developing countries at least) with being more responsible with their money, saving it for their family, while men are accused of being irresponsible and wasteful. In Grameen Bank’s microfinance projects, they claim that they loan money only to women, because women are responsible with the money, while men waste the money on “wine, women, and song.” Yet I wonder if, among the women who received loans from Grameen Bank, some of them are single women, who had various things paid for by men, while they saved their money and successfully paid back the micro- loan to Grameen?

Another objection I have comes from the underlying meaning of the event: it basically implies that a man is not worth meeting or spending time with, unless he pays the woman to be there. It is debasing to men’s dignity, since the implication is that the woman would not go out if he didn’t pay- what does this say about the value of that man, if he is not worth meeting without him putting up some money? What an abject and debasing condition!

Personally, I think that this tradition should at the very least, be reduced.  Women should pay for themselves at least part of the time.   I don’t claim that men face more disadvantages than women, but this is one area where women fare better than men, in terms of gender roles. Women seem to have little problem accepting women’s rights, International Women’s Day, etc., and celebrate these things enthusiastically- after all it’s in their benefit. But when it comes to changing their attitudes about something which benefits them- such as traditions of men paying for or buying things for women- well, those attitudes die harder (at least for some women).

Men should think critically about this and question it. When necessary they should just bring this issue out in the open and explain that they think costs should be shared- perhaps in proportion to the relative wealth of the two individuals. Not discussing it favors the conservative, old, stodgy traditions.

Of course, there will always be some man who will willfully pay up everything, buy endless gifts, etc., because he thinks somehow he will get something out of it. And some women will be impressed by this. But then those women will get a man who perhaps has little else to offer, and those men will get a woman who perhaps cares more about his money than she does about him.

Anyway, perhaps I am taking this too seriously. Perhaps I am totally wrong. I’d like to invite anyone reading this to comment- I’m curious what other people think about it!

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Friday, 30 October, 2009

Hopeful for Resolution to Crisis in Honduras

Well, if the news as reported today holds true, there may have been a breakthrough in negotiations which will lead to the resolution in the crisis between the de facto Honduran government and Manuel Zelaya.

I think this is good news because this has been a very difficult, tense, and stressful period for Honduras.  Some kind of resolution to the crisis will help bring things back to normal, with elections coming up rather soon, even too soon (29 November, this year).  (See BBC article)

The media has commonly referred to a “coup”, which took place in late June, in which the military, with the explicit order of both the Congress and Courts, removed Zelaya as President and removed him from the country.  While he was abroad a political crisis emerged, with most of the regional community demanding that Zelaya be reurned to power.  The interim government, led by Micheletti, meanwhile steadfastly refused to reinstate Zelaya.

According to the news, a power sharing government will be formed, to implement the elections in November.  Zelaya could return as President temporarily, if approved by first the Supreme Court, then the Congress.

As before I had urged readers to consider whether the events in late June were in fact a coup, now I would like to explicitly criticize the human rights violations after those events, when the current de facto government in Honduras was in power.  Civil and political rights were sometimes severely restricted, with authorities not allowing displays of support for Zelaya.  Also, sections of the media were restricted or taken over by the authorities.  All of these actions were wrong according to human rights standards.

We can only hope that a political agreement and successful elections will restore normalcy and stability in the near future.

In other commentary on the subject:

It seems like the foreign media have somehow focused on Zelaya, and made him into a victim in this scenario.  His is the name which people will remember from the news casts, to the detriment of his opponent in this scenario, Micheletti, the interim President.  But in fact, it seems that the media, in craving simplicity, made it into a “coup”, glossing over some of the facts.

For example, the Honduran Constitution limits the term of a President to one, an unusual but powerful idea, to prevent the installation of dictocrats, who stay on 15+ years.  One may criticize the Constitution as one likes, and say that the one term limit is flawed, but as I understand, that is what it currently says.  (See this link, spec. see Article 239) Further, both the courts and the Congress voted Zelaya out of power before the military did anything.  Now, one may say, these institutions just represent a certain segment of power, for example the capitalist classes opposed to Zelaya’s shift towards alliance with Chavez and his buddies.  But the fact that both organs of government, and apparently in large majority in the Honduran Congress, wanted Zelaya removed, should indicate something (such as that Zelaya was actually wrong?).

The strongest criticism that can be made is that removing Zelaya from the country, and by force, was akin to a coup, or like a coup.  But the way the events proceeded up to that point appear to be legal.

It is true some of the actions by the Honduran government after Zelaya’s removal were harmful, and blatant violations of people’s human rights.  This does not however, make the events a coup.

The media, again, can not handle complexity or ambiguity, and out and out labeled it as a “coup”.  This term has been bandied about and repeated so often in the media that hardly anyone even questions it.

In general I am in favor of limiting the term of heads of the Executive branch of any country’s government.  Long periods of rule by one person almost always leads to an imbalance of power favoring the executive branch, limiting the role of the Legislature and Courts.  This in turn ends up having negative effects for the people of the country, as criticism becomes muted, the courts are no longer fair, the elected organs of government, the Assembly, becomes sidelined and less consequential.  When the body (Assembly, Legislature, Parliament, Congress) people voted for is diminished in relation to the overpowering executive, then the people’s vote itself is devalued as well.  With elections for the Executive a near shoe-in for the incumbent, the people of a country really have little choice.

This kind of situation is undemocratic, which means it doesn’t give enough power to the people.  And the people, arguably are the ones that matter and should count, especially when poor people’s livelihoods are at stake.  Let’s face it, government decisions and policies can have a powerful effect on people’s lives.  And if they have little say in who makes up their government, they are at a further disadvantage.

For this reason, limits on the number of terms of Presidents, Prime Ministers in general, is a good policy and one that in general benefits the population of a country.

Which is reason to understand the Honduran government’s hostility to Zelaya when he was making moves to make it possible for him to run again for office, even though the Constitution states that he cannot.

But maybe I’m missing the point in focusing on this technical definition of a coup d’etat.  Maybe the real issue is the massive human rights violations committed under the interim Honduran regime.

Just to broaden the debate, I will give links to two articles taking a view different than my own:

Term Limits When Governments Benefit People

Coup D’Etat Murder, Mayhem and Lost Civil Liberties

Anyway, won’t ramble on longer about term limits, let’s just hope that the crisis in Honduras is fruitfully resolved, and people’s lives can go back to normal!

Article 239 of the 1982 Honduras Constitution

Article 239 — No citizen that has already served as head of the Executive Branch can be President or Vice-President.

Whoever violates this law or proposes its reform, as well as those that support such violation directly or indirectly, will immediately cease in their functions and will be unable to hold any public office for a period of 10 years.

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Saturday, 24 October, 2009

Come On US Citizens, We Really Need Healthcare Reform

This is one more appeal to the people of the United States to really think about the situation that we are in, and make sure your representative, or any polling agencies, know that you support health care reform!

The United States really needs healthcare reform!  People, the U.S. healthcare system is more costly per capita than virtually all other developed countries, yet basic health indicators in the US are still dragging behind those of other similarly wealthy countries.  Approximately 1/6 of the US population has no insurance, and being uninsured in the US system is dangerous, because costs are so astronomically high.

You know, I look at the United States from afar, and I see it from a somewhat different view, because I have lived outside it, in different countries, for so long.  And I can see it more the way foreigners see the US.

One thing I have difficulty understanding about the US is why there are so many people who are OPPOSED to changing our health care system.  Most people in the countries I visit would probably LIKE to have their government help them in terms of healthcare.  In contrast, in these poor countries, the misfortune of having a serious medical problem can cause virtual bankruptcy, having to sell off land, which makes people landless (a very severe situation).

Why are so many American people opposed to health care reform?  I can see if just a small minorty, less than 20%, the people who really benefit from the current system, were against it.  But there seems to be more than that in the US.

Have they been totally brainwashed by a certain political group who serve the powerful corporate interests behind the current system?   They have been tricked into thinking that avoiding “Big Government” is the most important political issue in this?  They are pro-life and they think that the bill will somehow support abortion?  Do they harbor conspiratorial ideas about the intention of the US government, and therefore fear any increase in government role?

Please someone, if you understand this phenomenon, please explain it to me.  Or, if you are one of the people who is against it, tell me why.  Maybe you can help me understand.

Come on US people, this system needs to be changed.  Now is the time, the chance to move the United States into the same league with other developed nations.

To U.S. citizens reading this, I must tell you, almost all the Europeans I meet cannot understand how the US can have a system like ours, which is so costly and wasteful, yet still fails to provide basic decent healthcare to so many.

For those of you who have taken a position against health care reform in 2009 (early 2010?), I urge you to reconsider your view, try to see it another way.

Whenever this issue comes to a vote, I hope that we will see a positive result.  In the meantime,  I hope those who are in favor of reform and change will be mobilizing!

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Saturday, 3 October, 2009

Article Discusses Trafficking of Men

Human trafficking is something which is often associated with women and children.  But in fact, many men are the victims of human trafficking for purely labor purposes.

This IRIN article, published by UN OCHA, explains the phenomenon in more detail.

I had previously heard a story from Cambodia back in 2003 about men trafficked to work on boats, had been addicted to drugs, and who were repatriated to Cambodia.  There wasn’t much in the way of funds available to help them.

Its also interesting to note that previously in Thailand and Cambodia, men could not be considered trafficking victims.  In retrospect, this seems to have been a mistake, since the events described in this article seem like a clear case of human trafficking.  It leads one to wonder what other gender-related pre-conceptions may be preventing an effective solution?

Just as a personal side note:  I used to work at one of the NGOs mentioned in the article- CARAM Cambodia!

SUMMARY

IRIN Report Link: Cambodia: Men being exploited, trafficked too This article illustrates the realities of a type of trafficking/slavery that is not so well-known: the labor trafficking and exploitation of men. The details about their deception and abuse, and the voices of actual victims, provide advocates with something to rally around, to get the issue higher on policy and donor agendas. To date, male victims of trafficking still do not receive proper protections under many legal frameworks, and services to male victims of trafficking is extremely poorly funded. There are many hotspots of male labor trafficking in our region (and elsewhere in the world) where men are flatly rejected by service providers because they are not women or children, despite suffering similar abuses. Read the Full Article

FULL TEXT

CAMBODIA: Men being exploited, trafficked too

PHNOM PENH, 15 September 2009 (IRIN) – Kou Channyyon’s story is typical of many young Cambodian men.

Desperate for work, he was trafficked to Malaysia with the promise of earning more than US$200 a month in a coffee factory.

But after he arrived, his passport was confiscated, and he found himself working 13 hours a day, with barely enough money to cover his living costs.

Barred from leaving the factory premises, he did not know if he would ever be able to escape.

“It was exhausting … I got very little sleep and was paid less than other workers,” the 23-year-old farmer’s son from southern Kandal Province, told IRIN.

According to the UN Inter-Agency Project on Human Trafficking (UNIAP), thousands of Cambodians are trafficked annually for the purpose of labour exploitation – a figure expected to increase given the global economic downturn.

“The risk factors for an increase are certainly there,” Paul Buckley, field operations coordinator for UNIAP, told IRIN in Bangkok, citing job losses, diminished remittances, and rising debt as key indicators.

Cambodian exports have been badly shaken by the global financial crisis, resulting in thousands of workers losing their jobs.

“This makes for an easier environment for traffickers to work in,” Buckley said, noting the need for more quantifiable data and research.

Earlier this year, the International Labour Organization (ILO) projected that job losses may surpass 45,000 this year, with a disproportionate burden falling on young workers, who already face few employment opportunities.

“Cambodia confronts a growing problem of providing decent work for this young population,” said Ya Navuth, executive director of Coordination of Action Research and Mobility (CARAM), a local NGO working to reduce illegal immigration to other countries.

“I think the government has to solve the problems of labour exploitation or illegal immigration by increasing the domestic market for labour,” Ya Navuth said.

Scant research on male victims

Trafficking victims have traditionally been identified by governments in Southeast Asia as women and children. There is scant research on the problem of male trafficking for labour exploitation, according to the International Organization for Migration (IOM).

According to the Cambodian government, men seek longer term work mostly in Thailand  in construction, factories, transport, fishing and fish processing.

“Males continue to be another vulnerable group besides women and children,” UNIAP’s national project coordinator in Cambodia, Lim Tith, told IRIN.

“They suffer abuse and labour exploitation [in a bid] to support their family back home,” he said.

A 2008 UNIAP report said the main destination countries for Cambodian labour migrants are Thailand, Malaysia and Taiwan.

Thailand is the top destination country for victims of human trafficking from Cambodia.

Thai fishing boats

Some of the worst exploited are men and boys who end up on Thai long-haul fishing boats that ply the South China Sea for two years or more at a time, according to a UNIAP study in April 2009.

“The boats become virtual prisons on which the trafficking victims endure inhumane working conditions and physical abuse. Death at sea is frequently reported, sometimes at the hands of Thai boat captains,” the study notes.

Until mid-2008, Thailand’s anti-human trafficking legislation excluded men from being acknowledged as trafficking victims, which meant that they were counted as illegal migrants instead, and consequently deported. [emphasis added]

Some 130,000 individuals are deported to Cambodia from Thailand each year, and evidence is readily available of cases of misidentification by Thai or Cambodian authorities of victims of trafficking departed from Thailand, said the 2008 UNIAP report.
“The fact that the problem remains hidden makes it harder for the NGOs and the government to work on it,” Lim Tith said.

New law

Cambodia has undertaken a series of measures to curb trafficking, including a 2008 law that recognizes men as potential trafficking victims for the first time, and provides a better legal framework to prosecute traffickers. [emphasis added]

But given the fallout from the global economic crisis, tackling illegal immigration and trafficking may prove difficult for the Cambodian government because of its small budgets and limited human resources, said Lim Tith.

“What’s important now is that the government has a political will to solve the problems, although they have very limited options,” said Lim Tith.

“With the global economic crisis still continuing or [having an] effect, more men will surely continue to seek jobs abroad and be exploited by the financial crisis,” he said.

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Monday, 28 September, 2009

International Issue Forum Reaches 8,000 Page Views

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Monday, 14 September, 2009

Amnesty International Mail Causes Doubt on Honduras Position

A few days ago I got an e mail from Amnesty International in which their Central America team strongly criticizes the de facto government in Honduras, even referring to a “coup” in the country.

I had previously printed my e mail letter to US President Obama advising his administration to re-consider referring to the political change as a “coup”, since it appeared to me to have been legal according to the constitution of Honduras. (See my previous post here.)

Now here was an e mail from Amnesty International, making me doubt whether my assessment of the situation was accurate.  Or was it perhaps true, that there are serious human rights violations in Honduras now, even if the political events referred to were not a “coup”?  I have not been following the events in Honduras closely, especially since news of events there have become less frequent now.  But it may be that serious abuses of people attempting to demonstrate have been perpetrated.

I am considering writing to the Amnesty International team asking them to explain why they think it was a coup, since according to my understanding of the events, it was not.  Perhaps they know something which I do not which will persuade me to think otherwise.

This is a case which shows several things- it shows that it is good not to be too stiff or resilient on a position, especially if one does not really have enough knowledge to decide.  A person who is truly in pursuit of truth on some issue or concern must be open minded and willing to consider new points of view or new information.

It also shows (as I have noted before) how difficult it can be to try to keep track of and have any real understanding of many different countries in the world.  I recognize ultimately the weakness in my own assessment of the situation because I, like many others, lack the time to really carefully investigate more than a few key issues as time passes.

Are there any readers out there who have any feelings or thoughts about whether the events in Honduras in late July, 2009, in which Zelaya was removed from office as President, was, or was not, a coup?

But yet, it may still be, as I suspect, that what occured in Honduras was not a coup.  At the same time, even if it were not a coup,  many human rights abuses may have followed the incidents and change of power there.

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Monday, 14 September, 2009

The Positives of Being a Vegetarian: Help the Poor and Save the Rainforests

Many people may not really be familiar with the idea of being a vegetarian, especially if they don’t know anyone who is a vegetarian and they live in a country where there is no real movement in favor of vegetarianism.

I suspect it is in more developed countries, or countries which have a history of freedom and open- mindedness, which will have a stronger presence of vegetarianism as a ideational force.  In many Asian countries some people may be full or partially vegetarian for religious reasons, usually either Buddhist or Hindu.

There are religious as well as practical reasons to be a vegetarian.  In this case I’m looking at the practical reasons to be a vegetarian and appealing to people’s rational faculties, with a compassionate motive.

Being a vegetarian could help reduce the impact of humans on the rainforest, especially meat consumers in certain countries.  For example, meat consumers in countries like Argentina and Brazil, where rainforest is cleared to make way for cattle range, there is a strong possibility that beef consumed in those countries affects the cutting down of the rainforest.

The same link between rainforest destruction and meat consumption applies to any country which receives beef which is exported from those countries where rainforest is being cleared for cattle grazing.  I have not researched it to know all of the countries where this is occurring, but I suspect it is considerable (among multiple other causes of rainforest destruction).

Another logical reason to reduce meat consumption is that prices of many foods have risen, especially some meat and fish.  In 2008, food prices reached extremely high levels and the poor of the world were particularly hard hit.  Several commentators at the time, including the World Bank, said that the rise in food prices threatened to turn back, or repeal, advances in poverty reduction made over the past few decades.

That was before the economic recession hit.

An additional pressure on food prices which will probably expand even further in the future, is the new bio-fuels.  These bio-fuels are environmentally more friendly (in terms of carbon emissions) , but there’s one catch:  They may compete for land with that land used to grow food for humans.  That is, an energy source is now competing for limited space with the food source.  If bio-fuels had never been invented, more land would be available to grow food, which in turn would probably increase the food supply.  An increase in food supply would drive food prices down relative to a constant level of demand.  Expanding bio-fuel production means that there will be less food overall, which will generally apply upward pressure to food prices in the long- term.  This is of course in addition to expanded demand from growing population, and increasing meat consumption in many countries which are developing and having more disposable income.

So, the idea here is that if a person eats less, or no meat at all, they will be reducing the demand for meat, which will result in lower meat prices, which will reduce pressure on the poor of the world.  If many people did this, it could have an effect over the long term.

Overall, I think at this point that as a species,  humans should reduce meat and fish consumption, as one measure to restore balance with the planet, and wild ecosystems.

Well, it’s food for thought.  I wonder if any readers have any thoughts about this, and whether they would consider being a vegetarian or reducing their meat intake as a result of these reasons?

Please comment!  All thoughts are welcome.

For more information about the link between a vegetarian diet and ecofriendly, green lifestyle, see also this website:  (EarthSave International)

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Sunday, 13 September, 2009

The Ambiguity of Hugo Chavez

Continuing from my previous post about Hugo Chavez of Venezuela, I think what I am basically trying to say about Hugo Chavez is that he is an ambiguous figure.  He is ambiguous because he has done many good things, including redistributing wealth and providing better healthcare, and promoting literacy, but he has also done many negative things like curtailing political freedoms and befriending countries with poor, undemocratic rights records.

There is a tendency among many people to become polarized and either be totally against, or totally for, a certain person or issue.  But in some cases, the actual reality of the situation requires a more moderate, even tempered attitude and approach.  Chavez inspires adulation from many, but is strongly denounced by others who oppose him.  I’m suggesting perhaps the truth is in the middle somewhere- which is perhaps why there are two considerably sized camps opposed to each other.

The original post was: Chavez is Going Too Far Despite Alleged Benefits of “Socialism in” Venezuela

Since I wrote the original post, Chavez did again the very thing that I mentioned in the post:  he went to Iran in what could be described as a friendly diplomatic visit.  In contrast, Chavez’s approach to the US has almost always been confrontational.  It seems a little bit imbalanced.

Chavez’s actions are dubious, especially in the context of the recent Iranian elections, which revealed, at least, that Iran is deeply divided about the direction the country should go in.  The harsh methods used to deal with the protestors, as well, makes the Iranian regime look dirtier, less respectable than before.  (Of course, to some they already had no credibility.)  Iran is a country where democracy is not really functioning, where democracy does not define the most powerful parts of the state- the Ayatollah, the Revolutionary Guards, and other un-elected government organs.  Therefore, it is only partly democratic, and the ability and practice of the authorities of selecting out any undesirable reformist candidates at their own whim, makes it even less democratic.

Chavez likes to style himself as a friend of the people.  But if he were really a friend of the people, he would realize that people’s rights consist of not only having a meal on the table, but being able to say what they think about the people who rule over them.   Its not only being able to go to a clinic that matters, but also having the power to vote and change the regime in your country, so that the will of the people triumphs over the whim of the powerful.  However, judging by Chavez’s foreign policy of lauding and befriending governments which are undemocratic and limit people’s rights and freedoms, one has to wonder whether he really is a friend of the people.

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Tuesday, 25 August, 2009

Happy Ramadan 2009

Just wishing all those who are fasting in one form or another a happy Ramadan.  For those who are fasting, I hope it goes well!

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Tuesday, 11 August, 2009

Obama Launches New Web Page to Clarify Myths about Health Care Reform

Health Insurance Reform Reality Check

A few brief excerpts:

“Reform will forbid many forms of rationing that are currently being used by insurance companies.”

“Melody Barnes, the President’s Director of the Domestic Policy Council, debunks the malicious myth that reform would encourage or even require euthanasia for seniors.”

“Reform will ease the burdens on small businesses and help level the playing field with big firms who pay much less to cover their employees on average.”

“Linda Douglass of the White House Office of Health Reform debunks the myth that reform will force you out of your current insurance plan or force you to change doctors. To the contrary, reform will expand your choices, not eliminate them.”

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Monday, 10 August, 2009

Chavez is Going Too Far Despite Alleged Benefits of “Socialism” in Venezuela

I’ve been watching Venezuela for a while and trying to make sense of what is happening there.  It’s difficult to follow what is happening in every country in the world, but Venezuela stands out from many other countries because of the fact that Hugo Chavez’s government has been embarking on a left wing course of government expropriation of resources.  Thus Venezuela has become a place in which several fundamental questions- about government ownership of the means of production, expropriation of property, redistribution of wealth, etc. can be examined.

I must admit that I don’t know enough about Venezuela and I have never been there. My fellow students and I studied Venezuela in one of  our courses at the Institute of Social Studies.   A few months ago I began to conduct some research about it but have since forgotten much of what I read.  Perhaps after re- reading those articles I can re- write this post.

A further problem, like so many debates between left and right, is that all the arguments are so heavily propagandized, depending on the perspective of the author, that it is difficult to know who and what to believe.

I have no doubt that Chavez has done some good things in Venezuela, and the benefit of distributing the wealth gathered from oil to the mass of the population should never be underestimated.  Its hard in a blog post like this to really adequately recognize how much of a difference this may make to the ordinary person.

Yet I have also had some serious doubts about Chavez, which grew worse when I saw this article.  (Chavez Accused of Gagging Media) This BBC article details the closure of 34 radio stations, with 200 other stations to follow.  This kind of activity, which will no doubt further eliminate critical speech in a country where the political and economic power is already highly concentrated, seems dubious at best, and threatens to turn Venezuela into a country which lacks pluralist debate.

Chavez’s Questionable Foreign Alliances

This is not the first thing that Chavez has done which caused me concern.  I am a person who particularly values political rights, such as freedom of speech, freedom of the press, freedom of association, and I have concluded that some form of democracy is the political system which is most likely to bring justice to the people of the world’s countries.  Thus I am not too favorably inclined towards the governments of countries like Iran and China.  Yet Chavez, while launching unending criticisms of the United States, made friendly overtures, even alliances to these countries.  On one overseas tour (which I believe was in 2005), Chavez even planned to visit North Korea, but was dissuaded from doing this by his advisors.

I can understand Chavez’s criticisms of the Bush administration.  But befriending the enemies of the Bush administration, whoever they may be, merely for the sake of realpolitik, when these regimes are serious human rights offenders, suggests that he does not really care about the rights of people.  It shows that he was merely interested in augmenting his own power through alliances with the enemies of his enemy.

If Chavez were one who truly stood consistently on the side of justice, he would have pointed out the failures of both the Bush administration, and the failures of those other countries.

I also do not appreciate Chavez’s style of discourse.  When making criticisms of someone or something, I think it is important to make level- headed, rational criticism, and also acknowledge any strengths of the object of criticism (if one sees any.)  But Chavez spends literally hours making exaggerated criticisms of the United States, which, while not without some basis, are way overblown.  I just do not appreciate this demagogic, caudillo style.  It’s a matter of personal taste, I suppose.

Socialism and Expropriation of Property

Over the past few years, we have observed how Chavez has ordered the expropriation (or taking over) of more and more privately held economic enterprises in Venezuela.   While one could argue about the benefit or harm of this course of action, I do believe at the very least that the state, when expropriating property, should pay a fair price for the property.  However, in several instances (perhaps more that I am not aware of), when the companies involved did not agree to the price Chavez offered (they felt the price was too low), Chavez basically bullied them into accepting the price that he offered.

Now I’d like to turn to a discussion of socialism in general, applied to the case of Venezuela.  Before doing so, I’d like to discuss different forms of socialism, which can then be applied to the case of Venezuela.

1- Soviet/ Cuban/early Chinese style socialism:  In this case the state owns all the means of production, arranges all transactions between economic enterprises through centralized planning, and fixes prices based on its own determination.  In other words, the market plays no role in determining prices.

2- Government ownership/ market pricing mechanism:  In this scenario, the government or state owns all of the means of production, but it allows market interactions between different state owned enterprises  to determine prices in the economy.  I am not aware of any historical examples of this, but no doubt there are some.

3- Hybrid state and private ownership/ market pricing mechanism:  In this case the state owns some of the means of production, but some of the means of production is also in private hands.  At the same time, market interactions determine prices (with perhaps some government interventions).  Since, even in most capitalist countries, some economic enterprise is state owned (for example the postal service, or the train system), cases in which very little is owned by the state, would then be referred to as capitalist.

Venezuela, to my understanding, is clearly in the third category.  I am not aware what percentage of the economy is privately owned vs. state owned, but it is clear that the general trend is for the state to own more, and the private sector less.  On the other hand, most developing countries have a large segment of the economy which is called the “informal economy”, or small, often unlicensed merchants:  people who sell things from small stands, push ice cream stalls through town, repair shoes at the roadside, etc. (What in communist orthodoxy would be referred to as ‘petty bourgeois’, coming from ‘petite’ or ‘little’ bourgeois)  I doubt very much whether Chavez intends to expropriate these people’s property as it would be very unpopular, and the Venezuelan state would be unlikely to be able to find work for all of them.

The question is whether this expropriation of property and the movement towards a hybrid form of socialism, in which more and more is owned by the state, is beneficial.

In some ways it may be beneficial, if it means that more wealth in the form of profits from these enterprises are redistributed to the general population.  And it may prevent profits from being taken out of the country.

But there may also be weaknesses which socialists are not ready to recognize.  For one thing, in most historical cases that I am aware of (and Venezuela seems no different in this way), the actual people of that country had little say over the operation of the state owned enterprises, or how its profits were used.   For example, during the early communist period in China, the profits from state owned enterprises in China were used to purchase and develop military weapons while many people starved to death.  Since the people had little right to object or participate in decision making, the system itself was exploitative, earning the term used by some leftists to describe these Stalinist systems as “state capitalism”.

While Venezuela is definitely not a Stalinist system, it appears to me that the Venezuelan people are generally not involved in the decision making process about how profits from these enterprises are used.  They may benefit from oil wealth, but they are the recipients of the decisions made by an elite in the upper echelons of the power structure.

The ideal scenario would be one in which the people of a state had real democratic decision making power in the operation of these enterprises and the uses of the profits.   While this may be difficult to institute in practice, I do think it is at least possible that the heads of these enterprises could be elected.

A further criticism is that, without real transparency in the operation of these enterprises, the resources involved could be misused and corruption could become problematic.

Of course, there is the oft repeated criticism that, without competition between different enterprises, or without the genuine possibility of failure due to government subsidy, these enterprises will become inefficient.

Chavez Serves Himself

There is another aspect of the way this hybrid socialism is being implemented in Venezuela that disturbs me.  It is not merely a neutral state which is administering socialism on behalf of the people.  Rather, Chavez has orchestrated the system such that he himself personally delivers the benefits to the people, thus winning their adoration and building a personal patron- client network between himself and the Venezuelan people.  That is, it is basically self- serving.

One wonders whether Chavez does not have kind of a big ego.   He sees his own legacy at stake and perhaps would like to have a place in history along with the likes of great socialist heroes like Lenin, etc.  (In fact I don’t know which people he would pose as heroes, this is just an example.)

In aiming to achieve this, I think he is trying to achieve too much too quickly.  If socialism is in fact a better system (something which should still be up for debate), it should be something which takes over gradually.  But Chavez’ muffling of the media shows that he is willing to stifle diversity of thought and pluralism in order to achieve his goals. The logic seems to be: “socialism will bring more justice to the poor, so it is OK to violate people’s rights to freedom of expression in the process.”  But I think that socialism would be more successful in the long run if it gradually wins acceptance in the presence of competition from other forms of thought.  Or perhaps there is another ideology, which is even more advanced than socialism, which will eventually win out?

Long Term Rulers Are Unhealthy for Society

I’ll finish up with one of my beliefs about governance.  In general, I think that long periods in office for one President or Prime Minister are unhealthy for a country, and will eventually cause problems.  In fact, the repression of diverse thought that we are now seeing in Venezuela may be a result of Chavez staying on too long.  The longer Chavez stays in power the more he seeks to deepen his grip.  In my opinion, it would be better for him to let go and turn it over to someone else for a while.

Conclusion

Its difficult to say where this situation will go.  It seems likely that, since Venezuela is gifted with oil, that it could go on for a long time.  Since even poor governance can be covered up with the glut of money that oil is likely to produce, this whole experiment could go on for quite a while even if it is not actually that well managed or successful.

To conclude, my advice for Chavez would be three-fold:

- Stop the grand- standing political rhetoric (which reminds me of George Bush’s style, actually)

- Stop limiting other people’s political rights

-Stop forging alliances with some of the world’s worst rights abusers, sheerly for reasons of realpolitik- have the nerve to stand alone in the world, in necessary, if it means taking the position with the greatest integrity.

See also: The Ambiguity of Hugo Chavez

Posted by: Patrick Mosolf | Sunday, 9 August, 2009

Letter to President Obama Concerning the Political Crisis in Honduras

Earlier today I sent the following e mail to U.S. President Barack Obama at the following link: http://www.whitehouse.gov/CONTACT/

Dear President Obama,

I am writing you in regards to the political crisis in Honduras, and the US government’s insistence that former President Zelaya be reinstated, as well as its terming of his removal as a “coup”.

I was quite surprised, and concerned when I read two editorials by members of the current Honduran government which explained why Mr. Zelaya was removed, and that this was done in a wholly constitutional fashion, given that the Honduran constitution guarantees removal of any figure attempting to extend their own term.

The response of the United States, and other governments in the region, by condemning the move, and referring to it as a “coup”, seems to have been a bit hasty.  I understand that it is difficult to monitor the situation in over 191 countries in the world, but I think the U.S. has a responsibility to make sure that it has understood the situation correctly before making any demands and characterization as a “coup”.

Imagine how the United States would feel if, following the election of George Bush in 2000, all the countries of the world insisted that Al Gore be made President.  Or if, in the event that Bill Clinton had been impeached, if all the countries in the world demanded that he be re-instated.

While generally I support referendums, I am also aware that referendums may not be accurate when the current officer in power has a strongly vested interest in its outcome, and can use the power of the state to affect the outcome.  Recent developments in Venezuela suggest, whatever one’s opinion about Hugo Chavez, that presidents who remain in power over consecutive terms can become increasingly authoritarian and impinge on the free exercise of the rights of that country’s citizens.

Further, in the past, I have noticed that before the War in Iraq, the US government did not gauge the opinion of the Iraqi people about whether they wanted to be invaded.  The US government in this case would be wise to get a sense of the Honduran peoples’ opinion on this issue.  While some people may rally in Mr. Zelaya’s favor, this does not mean that a majority support him.

In summary, I request the US government to review its reaction to the events in Honduras to determine whether Mr. Zelaya’s removal was not, in fact, constitutional, and adjust its foreign policy reaction based on that.

In due respect, and with best regards,

Patrick Mosolf

(end)

The internet is awash with information about this political crisis, but the following is an account of what preceded the removal of Mr. Zelaya from Honduras, printed in an article in the L.A. Times on 10 July, 2009: (Honduras’ Non- Coup)

Earlier this year, with only a few months left in his term, he [Zelaya] ordered a referendum on whether a new constitutional convention should convene to write a wholly new constitution. Because the only conceivable motive for such a convention would be to amend the un-amendable parts of the existing constitution, it was easy to conclude — as virtually everyone in Honduras did — that this was nothing but a backdoor effort to change the rules governing presidential succession. Not unlike what Zelaya’s close ally, Hugo Chavez, had done in Venezuela.

It is also worth noting that only referendums approved by a two-thirds vote of the Honduran Congress may be put to the voters. Far from approving Zelaya’s proposal, Congress voted that it was illegal.

The attorney general filed suit and secured a court order halting the referendum. Zelaya then announced that the voting would go forward just the same, but it would be called an “opinion survey.” The courts again ruled this illegal. Undeterred, Zelaya directed the head of the armed forces, Gen. Romeo Vasquez, to proceed with the “survey” — and “fired” him when he declined. The Supreme Court ruled the firing illegal and ordered Vasquez reinstated.

Zelaya had the ballots printed in Venezuela, but these were impounded by customs when they were brought back to Honduras. On June 25 — three days before he was ousted — Zelaya personally gathered a group of “supporters” and led it to seize the ballots, restating his intent to conduct the “survey” on June 28. That was the breaking point for the attorney general, who immediately sought a warrant from the Supreme Court for Zelaya’s arrest on charges of treason, abuse of authority and other crimes. In response, the court ordered Zelaya’s arrest by the country’s army, which under Article 272 must enforce compliance with the Constitution, particularly with respect to presidential succession. The military executed the court’s order on the morning of the proposed survey.

If this account of the events is true, it is understandable, in the context of the Honduran constitution, why the actions against Mr. Zelaya were taken.  It shows that the actions taken against him were according to the law, and not a military coup as has been claimed.

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